Wan wrote: ... who heard before ... [of] German Chiaraviglio ?
From Argentina, he got the Silver in the Pan Ams last month in Toronto with a PR of 5.75. He won the World Jr. Championships at 5.71 in 2006, but hasn't improved much since then, so I agree that RL doesn't have much to worry about. I think RL needs to worry more about RH and SB!
For Barber's sake, I'm more worried about Holzdeppe than about Lisek. I saw the 5.70 clearances of RL, RH, and SB in the qualifying round, and (though it took him 3 tries) Holzdeppe had better clearance than RL or SB. But to be fair, I didn't see Lisek's clearance.
If the Q round is any indication, I think RH will start higher than SB and PL (perhaps starting at 5.70 again), which may conserve his energy when they get near 5.90 (as Hardflex predicts). SB has proven his endurance in long meets, but it's going to take a great jump (perhaps 5.95) for Barber to win Silver (or Gold if RL falters).
I'll go out on a limb and predict RL at 6.05, SB at 5.95, and RH at 5.90.
Then Lisek at 5.80 for 4th.