achtungpv wrote:I see no one other than Whitt with the potential to jump 6m+. He will have to progress faster than he has in college though. Off the top of my head, I think every vaulter that has cleared 6m more than once had a PR higher than 5.80 at age 23 except for Hartwig (most were probably 5.90+ at 23). Old guys jumping 6m is pretty rare. Most have been 23-27 when they first cleared 6m. I don't know if we have the system in place any longer to support vaulters to peak in those prime years.
On a side note if your logic is true Andrew Irwin would have a better chance. 5.72 as a freshman in college. I really wish he would have taken shots at the World Juniors. He may have had 5.80 before he was done being a Junior. My assumption is the Olympic Trials were too big of a draw for him and his coach.